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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » SC Farense x Estoril Betting tips for October 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 11h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
SC Farense SC Farense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Estoril Estoril
ODD: @3.38 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense x Estoril Betting tips for October 6 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for SC Farense x Estoril, Sunday, 6/10/2024
📅 6/10/2024
11:30
SC Farense SC Farense
2.37
X
3.38
Estoril Estoril
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Farense x Estoril:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for SC Farense x Estoril:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, SC Farense conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, SC Farense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Estoril.
👉 It is not a good time for SC Farense as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from SC Farense x Estoril for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 6 of October

🏟️ SC Farense X Estoril – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 6 of October, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 SC Farense – Winning probability: 41.22% | Fair line: 2.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.57% | Fair line: 3.07
🔴 Estoril – Winning probability: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Farense x Estoril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense x Estoril

Is betting on SC Farense worth it?

🔵 SC Farense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $561.70
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$28.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $785.40;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$115.40.

Is it worth betting on Estoril?

🔴 Estoril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Estoril

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Estoril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 SC Farense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SC Farense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Estoril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Estoril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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