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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » SC Farense x Estrela Betting tips for November 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Friday, 29 November 2024, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
SC Farense SC Farense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Estrela Estrela
ODD: @3.14 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense x Estrela Betting tips for November 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for SC Farense x Estrela, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
20:15
SC Farense SC Farense
2.46
X
3.14
Estrela Estrela
2.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Farense x Estrela:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1570.00!

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The main points for the tip for SC Farense x Estrela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 4 Estrela matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estrela conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 SC Farense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Estrela playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Farense x Estrela?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Farense x Estrela, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Farense x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of November

🏟️ SC Farense X Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 SC Farense – Winning probability: 44.84% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.41% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Estrela – Winning probability: 22.75% | Fair line: 4.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Farense x Estrela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Farense x Estrela

Should you bet on SC Farense?

🔵 SC Farense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $657.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$107.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $684.80;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$4.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela?

🔴 Estrela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $432.40
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Estrela

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Estrela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SC Farense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SC Farense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 SC Farense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Estrela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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