SC Farense x Guimaraes Betting tips for December 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 29/12/2024 15:30 |
 SC Farense4.34 |
X 3.50 |
Guimaraes  1.81 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SC Farense x Guimaraes:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for SC Farense x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Farense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on SC Farense x Guimaraes?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from SC Farense x Guimaraes for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of December
|
🏟️ SC Farense X Guimaraes – Portugal Primeira Liga |
When the best bet on SC Farense x Guimaraes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240320 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Farense x Guimaraes
Is it worth betting on SC Farense?
🔵 SC Farense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $367.40;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$522.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $900.00
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.
Should you bet on Guimaraes?
🔴 Guimaraes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $429.30
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Guimaraes
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Guimaraes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 SC Farense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 SC Farense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Guimaraes.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Guimaraes
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
