Sporting x Benfica Betting tips for December 29 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Sporting x Benfica, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 20:30

Sporting 2.44

X 3.50

Benfica 2.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Benfica:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $1220.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Sporting x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Benfica, Sporting scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Benfica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sporting x Benfica, with Sporting as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sporting conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Sporting conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Benfica. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Benfica has not lost any of them. 👉 Sporting has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Benfica playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sporting x Benfica?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sporting x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 29 of December

When the best bet on Sporting x Benfica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240463 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting x Benfica

Is it worth betting on Sporting?

🔵 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $792.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$342.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $358.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$421.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Benfica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sporting, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sporting.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.