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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Sporting x Casa Pia Betting tips for October 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 16h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Sporting Sporting
PREDICTION Sporting wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
ODD: @1.13 Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting x Casa Pia Betting tips for October 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Sporting x Casa Pia, Saturday, 5/10/2024
📅 5/10/2024
16:30
Sporting Sporting
1.13
X
8.50
Casa Pia Casa Pia
15.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting x Casa Pia:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $565.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sporting x Casa Pia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
👉 Sporting did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sporting x Casa Pia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sporting x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of October

🏟️ Sporting X Casa Pia – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 5 of October, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Sporting – Winning probability: 99.37% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.56% | Fair line: 178.97
🔴 Casa Pia – Winning probability: 0.07% | Fair line: 1452.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting x Casa Pia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting x Casa Pia

Is it worth betting on Sporting?

🔵 Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $128.70;
  • And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$118.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$915.00.

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Casa Pia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Sporting. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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