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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Sporting x Estrela Betting tips for November 1 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Friday, 01 November 2024, 20h15 Portugal Primeira Liga
Sporting Sporting
PREDICTION Sporting wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Estrela Estrela
ODD: @1.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting x Estrela Betting tips for November 1 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Sporting x Estrela, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
20:15
Sporting Sporting
1.07
X
11.00
Estrela Estrela
21.12

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Estrela:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $535.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sporting x Estrela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $167.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Estrela conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Sporting is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.
👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sporting x Estrela?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sporting x Estrela:

Analysis from Sporting x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 1 of November

🏟️ Sporting X Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Sporting – Winning probability: 99.79% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.20% | Fair line: 492.99
🔴 Estrela – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 11006.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 11.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting x Estrela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213846 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting x Estrela

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔵 Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $70.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$70.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Estrela?

🔴 Estrela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 21.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Estrela

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Estrela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.75 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Sporting.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Estrela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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