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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Sporting x Santa Clara Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
Sporting Sporting
PREDICTION Sporting wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Santa Clara Santa Clara
ODD: @1.16 Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting x Santa Clara Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Sporting x Santa Clara, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:30
Sporting Sporting
1.16
X
7.20
Santa Clara Santa Clara
14.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Santa Clara:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $580.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sporting x Santa Clara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $159.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Santa Clara, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Sporting matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sporting x Santa Clara, with Sporting as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Sporting has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Santa Clara.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sporting x Santa Clara for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 30 of November

🏟️ Sporting X Santa Clara – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Sporting – Winning probability: 94.24% | Fair line: 1.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.50% | Fair line: 22.21
🔴 Santa Clara – Winning probability: 1.25% | Fair line: 79.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting and Santa Clara.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230061 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting x Santa Clara

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔵 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – profiting $150.40;
  • And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$90.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $310.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on Santa Clara?

🔴 Santa Clara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 14.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $130.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$860.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Santa Clara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Santa Clara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Sporting.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Santa Clara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Santa Clara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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