Paraguay x Australia Betting tips for June 26 in World Cup 2026

Our betting tip for Paraguay x Australia, Friday, 26/6/2026

📅 26/6/2026 02:00

Paraguay 2.15

X 3.20

Australia 3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Paraguay x Australia:

🔮 Paraguay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paraguay, you can win up to $1075.00!

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The main points for the tip for Paraguay x Australia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Australia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Paraguay did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 Australia did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Australia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Australia as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Paraguay x Australia for the World Cup 2026 – 26 of June

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Paraguay x Australia

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Paraguay x Australia (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Paraguay x Australia

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Paraguay x Australia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1563206 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Paraguay?

🔵 Paraguay: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $437.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $814.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is betting on Australia worth it?

🔴 Australia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Paraguay x Australia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Paraguay
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paraguay x Australia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Paraguay, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Paraguay.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paraguay x Australia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Paraguay x Australia