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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Auxerre x Lille Betting tips for January 10 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 10 January 2025, 20h00 France Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
PREDICTION Lille Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Lille Lille
ODD: @1.92 Don't miss this prediction!

Auxerre x Lille Betting tips for January 10 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Lille, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
20:00
Auxerre Auxerre
3.75
X
3.60
Lille Lille
1.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Lille:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $960.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Auxerre x Lille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lille caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Lille has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of January

🏟️ Auxerre X Lille – France Ligue 1
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Auxerre – Winning probability: 22.82% | Fair line: 4.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.92% | Fair line: 5.28
🔴 Lille – Winning probability: 58.26% | Fair line: 1.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Auxerre x Lille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Auxerre x Lille

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

🔵 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $632.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is betting on Lille worth it?

🔴 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $533.60;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Lille

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Auxerre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Auxerre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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