CD Alaves x Girona Betting tips for January 11 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Girona, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 13:00

CD Alaves 2.62

X 3.16

Girona 2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Alaves x Girona:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Alaves x Girona

Some important points for the tip for CD Alaves x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Girona, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 CD Alaves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between CD Alaves x Girona, with CD Alaves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, CD Alaves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Girona. 👉 CD Alaves has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Girona playing at home.

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Analysis from CD Alaves x Girona for the Spain La Liga – 11 of January

When the best bet on CD Alaves x Girona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244129 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Alaves x Girona

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Alaves?

🔵 CD Alaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $453.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$266.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $734.40;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$74.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Girona?

🔴 Girona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $665.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Girona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Alaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Girona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Alaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CD Alaves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CD Alaves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Girona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.