Botafogo x Marica RJ Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
| 📅 11/1/2025 19:00 |
 Botafogo1.50 |
X 4.10 |
Marica RJ  5.74 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Botafogo x Marica RJ:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $750.00!
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The main points for the tip for Botafogo x Marica RJ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-232.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo x Marica RJ?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo x Marica RJ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Botafogo x Marica RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 11 of January
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🏟️ Botafogo X Marica RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Botafogo and Marica RJ.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo x Marica RJ
Is it worth betting on Botafogo?
🔵 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $425.00;
- And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$275.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $217.00
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$713.00.
Is it worth betting on Marica RJ?
🔴 Marica RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $379.20;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$540.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Marica RJ
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Marica RJ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Botafogo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Botafogo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Marica RJ.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Marica RJ
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
