Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
| 📅 11/1/2025 19:30 |
 Vasco da Gama4.92 |
X 3.56 |
Nova Iguacu  1.67 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu:
🔮 Nova Iguacu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nova Iguacu, you can win up to $835.00!
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Important information for your tip for Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $258.0. |
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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 11 of January
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🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Nova Iguacu – Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
When the best bet on Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu
Is it a good idea to bet on Vasco da Gama?
🔵 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $784.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $230.40;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$679.60.
Is betting on Nova Iguacu worth it?
🔴 Nova Iguacu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $475.70;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$185.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Vasco da Gama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Vasco da Gama.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Vasco da Gama.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Nova Iguacu
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
