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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Toulouse x Strasbourg Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h15 France Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
PREDICTION Toulouse wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Strasbourg Strasbourg
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Toulouse x Strasbourg Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Toulouse x Strasbourg, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:15
Toulouse Toulouse
1.74
X
3.84
Strasbourg Strasbourg
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toulouse x Strasbourg:

🔮 Toulouse wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $870.00!

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Important information for your tip for Toulouse x Strasbourg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-161.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Strasbourg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Toulouse is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Toulouse x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ Toulouse X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 Toulouse – Winning probability: 70.45% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.27% | Fair line: 4.93
🔴 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 9.28% | Fair line: 10.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Toulouse x Strasbourg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

Is it worth betting on Toulouse?

🔵 Toulouse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $518.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$218.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $568.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Should you bet on Strasbourg?

🔴 Strasbourg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $299.70
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$610.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Strasbourg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Toulouse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Toulouse.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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