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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Montpellier x Angers Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h15 France Ligue 1
Montpellier Montpellier
PREDICTION Montpellier wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Angers Angers
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Montpellier x Angers Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Angers, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:15
Montpellier Montpellier
2.00
X
3.60
Angers Angers
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montpellier x Angers:

🔮 Montpellier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Angers:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1195.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Montpellier scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Angers, Montpellier scored at least 4 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Montpellier x Angers, with Montpellier as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Montpellier has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Angers playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Montpellier x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ Montpellier X Angers – France Ligue 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 Montpellier – Winning probability: 57.41% | Fair line: 1.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Angers – Winning probability: 20.95% | Fair line: 4.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Angers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montpellier x Angers

Is betting on Montpellier worth it?

🔵 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Angers?

🔴 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Angers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Montpellier, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Montpellier.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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