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Home » Predictions » Others » Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.63
X
3.89
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
4.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $815.00!

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The main points for the tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boavista RJ, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Boavista RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Flamengo has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Boavista RJ.

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Summary

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Analysis from Flamengo x Boavista RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

🏟️ Flamengo X Boavista RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 71.20% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.40% | Fair line: 9.62
🔴 Boavista RJ – Winning probability: 18.40% | Fair line: 5.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Flamengo x Boavista RJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $447.30
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$157.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $289.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$611.00.

Should you bet on Boavista RJ?

🔴 Boavista RJ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $639.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$181.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Flamengo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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