Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 19:00

Madureira RJ 3.40

X 2.97

Volta Redonda 2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda:

🔮 Volta Redonda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Volta Redonda, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Madureira RJ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Volta Redonda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $288.0. 👉 Madureira RJ did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Volta Redonda scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Madureira RJ matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda, with Madureira RJ as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Madureira RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Volta Redonda. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Volta Redonda has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

Is it worth betting on Madureira RJ?

🔵 Madureira RJ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $472.80
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Volta Redonda?

🔴 Volta Redonda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $605.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Madureira RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Madureira RJ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Madureira RJ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Madureira RJ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.