Darmstadt x Heidenheim Betting tips for April 28 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Darmstadt x Heidenheim, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 17:30

Darmstadt 3.16

X 3.61

Heidenheim 2.12

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Darmstadt x Heidenheim:

🔮 Heidenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heidenheim, you can win up to $1060.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Darmstadt x Heidenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Darmstadt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heidenheim, Darmstadt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Darmstadt x Heidenheim, with Darmstadt as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Darmstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Darmstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Heidenheim. 👉 Darmstadt has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Heidenheim playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Darmstadt as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Darmstadt x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 28 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Darmstadt and Heidenheim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1106965 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Darmstadt x Heidenheim

Is betting on Darmstadt worth it?

🔵 Darmstadt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $388.80
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$431.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $626.40
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$133.60.

Should you bet on Heidenheim?

🔴 Heidenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $638.40;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$208.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Darmstadt x Heidenheim

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Darmstadt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Darmstadt x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Darmstadt and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Darmstadt.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Darmstadt x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.