Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for April 10 in UEFA Champions League
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10/4/2024 19:00 |
 Atletico Madrid1.83 |
X 3.52 |
Borussia Dortmund  4.03 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund:
๐ฎ Borussia Dortmund wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $2015.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 10 of April
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๐๏ธ Atletico Madrid X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1094489 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
Is betting on Atletico Madrid worth it?
๐ต Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $473.10
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐ฐ$43.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $327.60;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$542.40.
Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?
๐ด Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $909.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$209.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Madrid
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Madrid.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
