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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan Betting tips for March 13 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 13 March 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan Betting tips for March 13 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan, Wednesday, 13/3/2024
๐Ÿ“… 13/3/2024
20:00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
2.73
X
3.20
Inter Milan Inter Milan
2.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Inter Milan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $112.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $398.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan for the UEFA Champions League – 13 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Madrid X Inter Milan – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 13 of March, 2024 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 28.65% | Fair line: 3.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.61% | Fair line: 5.1
๐Ÿ”ด Inter Milan – Winning probability: 51.74% | Fair line: 1.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1076130 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan

Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $501.70;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$360.00.

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

๐Ÿ”ด Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $806.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$326.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atletico Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Inter Milan

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves