Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for April 16 in UEFA Champions League
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16/4/2024 19:00 |
 Borussia Dortmund2.28 |
X 3.60 |
Atletico Madrid  2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid:
๐ฎ Borussia Dortmund wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $1140.00!
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The main points for the tip for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid:
Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 16 of April
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๐๏ธ Borussia Dortmund X Atletico Madrid – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1099347 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid
Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?
๐ต Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $729.60;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$299.60.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $338.00
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$532.00.
Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?
๐ด Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$130.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Dortmund
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Borussia Dortmund and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Borussia Dortmund. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x Atletico Madrid
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
