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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป PSG x Barcelona Betting tips for April 10 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 10 April 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
PSG PSG
PREDICTION Barcelona Wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Barcelona Barcelona
ODD: @3.42 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Barcelona Betting tips for April 10 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for PSG x Barcelona, Wednesday, 10/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 10/4/2024
19:00
PSG PSG
2.00
X
3.62
Barcelona Barcelona
3.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Barcelona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Barcelona wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1710.00!

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Important information for your tip for PSG x Barcelona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-219.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $192.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Barcelona, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Barcelona has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSG x Barcelona for the UEFA Champions League – 10 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSG X Barcelona – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 10 of April, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSG – Winning probability: 50.62% | Fair line: 1.98
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.39% | Fair line: 6.95
๐Ÿ”ด Barcelona – Winning probability: 34.99% | Fair line: 2.86
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSG and Barcelona.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1094489 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Barcelona

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

๐Ÿ”ต PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$20.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $366.80;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$493.20.

Is betting on Barcelona worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $847.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$197.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Barcelona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Barcelona

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PSG. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Barcelona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves