Real Madrid x Manchester City Betting tips for April 9 in UEFA Champions League
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9/4/2024 19:00 |
 Real Madrid2.80 |
X 3.50 |
Manchester City  2.37 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Manchester City:
๐ฎ Manchester City wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $1185.00!
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The main points for the tip for Real Madrid x Manchester City: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $66.0. |
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Analysis from Real Madrid x Manchester City for the UEFA Champions League – 9 of April
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๐๏ธ Real Madrid X Manchester City – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Madrid x Manchester City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1094119 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Madrid x Manchester City
Is it worth betting on Real Madrid?
๐ต Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $594.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$76.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$230.00.
Is it worth betting on Manchester City?
๐ด Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $616.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$66.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Manchester City
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Real Madrid
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Manchester City
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Real Madrid.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Manchester City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Manchester City
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
