Aston Villa x Tottenham Betting tips for May 3 in England Premier League
| 📅 3/5/2026 18:00 |
Aston Villa2.10 |
X 3.60 |
Tottenham ![]() 3.22 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Tottenham:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Aston Villa x Tottenham
The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x Tottenham:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $172.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tottenham matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Aston Villa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Aston Villa x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 3 of May
🏟️ Aston Villa X Tottenham – England Premier League
📅 3 of May, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 44.69% | Fair line: 2.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.47% | Fair line: 3.78
🔴 Tottenham – Winning probability: 28.83% | Fair line: 3.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Aston Villa x Tottenham
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Aston Villa x Tottenham.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 2.44%, the odds for Aston Villa are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.05 for Aston Villa and now the odds are @2.1.
📊 With a variation of 2.86%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 With a variation of 3.12%, the odds for Tottenham are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Tottenham and now the odds are @3.3.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Aston Villa is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Tottenham
When the best bet on Aston Villa x Tottenham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1535712 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?
🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$55.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $676.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?
🔴 Tottenham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $643.80
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$66.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Tottenham
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Tottenham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aston Villa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Aston Villa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Tottenham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Aston Villa x Tottenham
Who is the favourite: Aston Villa or Tottenham?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Aston Villa, with a win probability of 44.69%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Aston Villa x Tottenham?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Aston Villa is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 44.69%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Aston Villa beating Tottenham today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Aston Villa would win about 45 of those against Tottenham.
What are the chances of Tottenham beating Aston Villa today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Tottenham to win approximately 29 of them against Aston Villa.
Which team should I bet on: Aston Villa or Tottenham?
Our analysis did not reveal a clear positive expected value pick for this fixture. Gamble responsibly and follow good bankroll rules: keep stakes below 2% of your capital!
How much is Aston Villa paying today? See what you can win by betting on Aston Villa x Tottenham:
The odds for Aston Villa to beat Tottenham today are around 2.10. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2100.00 if Aston Villa wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Tottenham paying today? See what you can win by betting on Aston Villa x Tottenham:
The average odds for Tottenham to beat Aston Villa today are 3.22. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3220.00 if Tottenham wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Aston Villa