Everton x Manchester City Betting tips for May 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Manchester City, Monday, 4/5/2026

📅 4/5/2026 19:00

Everton 5.50

X 4.21

Manchester City 1.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Everton x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Everton x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $149.0.
👉 Manchester City did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Everton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Manchester City.
👉 Manchester City is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Manchester City has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Manchester City won the last 5 head-to-head matches Everton´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Everton x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Everton x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Everton x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 4 of May

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Everton x Manchester City

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Everton x Manchester City.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Manchester City

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Everton x Manchester City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1535712 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Everton?

🔵 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $270.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$670.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $256.80
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$663.20.

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $473.00
• And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$333.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Manchester City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Everton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Everton x Manchester City