Chelsea x Nottm Forest Betting tips for May 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest, Monday, 4/5/2026

📅 4/5/2026 14:00

Chelsea 1.73

X 3.90

Nottm Forest 4.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

Important information for your tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nottm Forest.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Nottm Forest has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Chelsea x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 4 of May

How the handicap and odds moved for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Chelsea x Nottm Forest.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Nottm Forest.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1537252 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔵 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $394.20;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$65.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $754.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Nottm Forest

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chelsea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest