Chelsea x Nottm Forest Betting tips for May 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest, Monday, 4/5/2026

📅 4/5/2026 14:00

Chelsea 1.73

X 3.81

Nottm Forest 4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chelsea x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $865.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nottm Forest.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Nottm Forest has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Chelsea x Nottm Forest?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2026, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Chelsea x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 4 of May

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Chelsea x Nottm Forest.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

When the best bet on Chelsea x Nottm Forest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1535712 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔵 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $511.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$211.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $533.90
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$276.10.

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $374.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$516.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Nottm Forest

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chelsea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Chelsea x Nottm Forest