Lorient x PSG Betting tips for April 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lorient x PSG, Wednesday, 24/4/2024

📅 24/4/2024 17:00

Lorient 7.00

X 5.00

PSG 1.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lorient x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $685.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Lorient x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lorient in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $453.0. 👉 Lorient did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against PSG, Lorient scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lorient matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lorient conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Lorient conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, PSG has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Lorient as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lorient x PSG?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lorient x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lorient and PSG.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1104473 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lorient x PSG

Is betting on Lorient worth it?

🔵 Lorient: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $180.00;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is betting on PSG worth it?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $340.40;
• And would lose other 80 times – losing -$80.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lorient x PSG

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Lorient
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lorient x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Lorient, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Lorient.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lorient x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.