Marseille x Nice Betting tips for April 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Nice, Wednesday, 24/4/2024

📅 24/4/2024 19:00

Marseille 2.10

X 3.37

Nice 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Nice:

🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $1700.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Marseille x Nice: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $223.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nice, Marseille scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Marseille matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Marseille x Nice, with Marseille as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nice.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Marseille x Nice?

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Analysis from Marseille x Nice for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of April

When the best bet on Marseille x Nice is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1104798 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marseille x Nice

Should you bet on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $429.00
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $568.80
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$191.20.

Should you bet on Nice?

🔴 Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $888.00
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$258.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Nice

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Nice

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Marseille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Marseille.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Nice

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.