Monaco x Lille Betting tips for April 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Lille, Wednesday, 24/4/2024

📅 24/4/2024 19:00

Monaco 2.20

X 3.50

Lille 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monaco x Lille:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1100.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Monaco x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Monaco has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Lille playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x Lille?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x Lille, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monaco x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monaco and Lille.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1104798 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Lille

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $768.00;
• And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$408.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it worth betting on Lille?

🔴 Lille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Lille

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.