Montpellier x Angers Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Angers, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:15

Montpellier 2.00

X 3.60

Angers 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Angers:

🔮 Montpellier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Angers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1195.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Montpellier scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Angers, Montpellier scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Montpellier x Angers, with Montpellier as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Montpellier has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Angers playing at home.

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Analysis from Montpellier x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

When the best bet on Montpellier x Angers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244472 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montpellier x Angers

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on Angers?

🔴 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Angers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Montpellier.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.