PSG x St Etienne Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 12/1/2025 19:45 |
 PSG1.08 |
X 11.50 |
St Etienne  21.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x St Etienne:
🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $540.00!
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The main points for the tip for PSG x St Etienne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0. |
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Analysis from PSG x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January
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🏟️ PSG X St Etienne – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244472 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x St Etienne
Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?
🔵 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $80.00;
- And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Should you bet on St Etienne?
🔴 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 21.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x St Etienne
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.5 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x St Etienne
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.5 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.75 PSG.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.75 PSG.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x St Etienne
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.75 goals.
