Cremonese x Lazio Betting tips for May 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cremonese x Lazio, Monday, 4/5/2026

📅 4/5/2026 16:30

Cremonese 3.40

X 3.30

Lazio 2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x Lazio:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cremonese x Lazio

The main points for the tip for Cremonese x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $480.0.
👉 In the last 7 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Cremonese x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 4 of May

How the handicap and odds moved for Cremonese x Lazio

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Cremonese x Lazio.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cremonese x Lazio

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cremonese x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1535712 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Cremonese worth it?

🔵 Cremonese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $744.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $713.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $407.00
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$223.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Lazio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cremonese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Cremonese.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Cremonese x Lazio