Fiorentina x Parma Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Parma, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 13:00

Fiorentina 1.67

X 3.80

Parma 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fiorentina x Parma:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $835.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Fiorentina x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $497.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Parma, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Parma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Parma. 👉 Fiorentina is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Parma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Parma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fiorentina and Parma.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Parma

Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 690 times – profiting $462.30;
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$152.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $588.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Parma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Fiorentina.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.