Venezia x Monza Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Monza, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 13:00

Venezia 1.96

X 3.38

Monza 3.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Venezia x Monza:

🔮 Venezia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Venezia, you can win up to $980.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Venezia x Monza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Venezia did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 Venezia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Monza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Monza conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Monza as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Monza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Venezia x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Venezia and Monza.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301346 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venezia x Monza

Should you bet on Venezia?

🔵 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $710.40;
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$450.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $404.60
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$425.40.

Should you bet on Monza?

🔴 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $256.50
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$653.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Monza

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Venezia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.