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Home » Predictions » AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20 Betting tips for January 10 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Friday, 10 January 2025, 00h30 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
AA Francana U20 AA Francana U20
PREDICTION Atletico Mineiro U20 Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Atletico Mineiro U20 Atletico Mineiro U20
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20 Betting tips for January 10 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
00:30
AA Francana U20 AA Francana U20
6.47
X
4.33
Atletico Mineiro U20 Atletico Mineiro U20
1.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20:

🔮 Atletico Mineiro U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Mineiro U20, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-188.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Mineiro U20 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AA Francana U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Atletico Mineiro U20 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 10 of January

🏟️ AA Francana U20 X Atletico Mineiro U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 AA Francana U20 – Winning probability: 4.51% | Fair line: 22.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.02% | Fair line: 11.08
🔴 Atletico Mineiro U20 – Winning probability: 86.47% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 AA Francana U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20

Is betting on AA Francana U20 worth it?

🔵 AA Francana U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $273.50
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$676.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $299.70
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.30.

Should you bet on Atletico Mineiro U20?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $326.80;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$186.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 AA Francana U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 AA Francana U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 AA Francana U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 AA Francana U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AA Francana U20 x Atletico Mineiro U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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