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Home » Predictions » Others » Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Boavista RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.60
X
3.90
Boavista RJ Boavista RJ
4.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Flamengo x Boavista RJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boavista RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boavista RJ, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Boavista RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Flamengo has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Boavista RJ.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Flamengo x Boavista RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

🏟️ Flamengo X Boavista RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 70.31% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.75% | Fair line: 9.3
🔴 Boavista RJ – Winning probability: 18.94% | Fair line: 5.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Flamengo x Boavista RJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $319.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Boavista RJ?

🔴 Boavista RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $684.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Boavista RJ

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Flamengo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Flamengo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Boavista RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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