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Home » Predictions » Others » Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Fluminense Fluminense
PREDICTION Fluminense wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Sampaio Correa RJ Sampaio Correa RJ
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
22:00
Fluminense Fluminense
1.38
X
4.70
Sampaio Correa RJ Sampaio Correa RJ
6.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-169.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampaio Correa RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sampaio Correa RJ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fluminense is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

🏟️ Fluminense X Sampaio Correa RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Fluminense – Winning probability: 86.78% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.37% | Fair line: 11.94
🔴 Sampaio Correa RJ – Winning probability: 4.85% | Fair line: 20.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ

Should you bet on Fluminense?

🔵 Fluminense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $330.60;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $296.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$624.00.

Is it worth betting on Sampaio Correa RJ?

🔴 Sampaio Correa RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $287.50
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$662.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Fluminense.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Sampaio Correa RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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