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Home » Predictions » Others » Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20 Betting tips for January 10 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Friday, 10 January 2025, 22h00 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Itapirense U20 Itapirense U20
PREDICTION Atletico Goianiense U20 Wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Atletico Goianiense U20 Atletico Goianiense U20
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20 Betting tips for January 10 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
22:00
Itapirense U20 Itapirense U20
4.40
X
3.80
Atletico Goianiense U20 Atletico Goianiense U20
1.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20:

🔮 Atletico Goianiense U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Goianiense U20, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Itapirense U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Goianiense U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 In the last 8 Itapirense U20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Itapirense U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Atletico Goianiense U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Itapirense U20 as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 10 of January

🏟️ Itapirense U20 X Atletico Goianiense U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Itapirense U20 – Winning probability: 8.23% | Fair line: 12.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.11% | Fair line: 6.62
🔴 Atletico Goianiense U20 – Winning probability: 76.66% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Itapirense U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244472 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20

Should you bet on Itapirense U20?

🔵 Itapirense U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $272.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$648.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Atletico Goianiense U20 worth it?

🔴 Atletico Goianiense U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $438.90;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$208.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Itapirense U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Itapirense U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Itapirense U20.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Itapirense U20 x Atletico Goianiense U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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