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Home » Predictions » Others » Marino de Luanco x Compostela Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
PREDICTION No tip
Compostela Compostela
Don't miss this prediction!

Marino de Luanco x Compostela Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Marino de Luanco x Compostela, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:00
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
2.00
X
2.89
Compostela Compostela
3.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marino de Luanco x Compostela:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Marino de Luanco x Compostela

Some important points for the tip for Marino de Luanco x Compostela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marino de Luanco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Compostela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 4 Compostela matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Marino de Luanco x Compostela, with Marino de Luanco as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Marino de Luanco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Marino de Luanco has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Compostela playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Marino de Luanco x Compostela for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Marino de Luanco X Compostela – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Marino de Luanco – Winning probability: 47.05% | Fair line: 2.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.94% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Compostela – Winning probability: 20.01% | Fair line: 5.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marino de Luanco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marino de Luanco and Compostela.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marino de Luanco x Compostela

Is betting on Marino de Luanco worth it?

🔵 Marino de Luanco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $470.00;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$60.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $623.70;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on Compostela?

🔴 Compostela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marino de Luanco x Compostela

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marino de Luanco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marino de Luanco x Compostela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Marino de Luanco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Marino de Luanco. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marino de Luanco x Compostela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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