Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 11/1/2025 01:00 |
 Tepatitlan FC2.50 |
X 3.20 |
Venados FC  2.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC
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Some important points for the tip for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. |
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Analysis from Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 11 of January
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🏟️ Tepatitlan FC X Venados FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Tepatitlan FC?
🔵 Tepatitlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $704.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on Venados FC?
🔴 Venados FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tepatitlan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Tepatitlan FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Tepatitlan FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tepatitlan FC x Venados FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
