Montpellier x Angers Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Angers, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:15

Montpellier 1.98

X 3.60

Angers 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montpellier x Angers:

🔮 Montpellier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $990.00!

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Important information for your tip for Montpellier x Angers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1195.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Montpellier scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Angers, Montpellier scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Angers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Montpellier x Angers, with Montpellier as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Montpellier has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Angers playing at home.

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Analysis from Montpellier x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Angers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montpellier x Angers

Is it a good idea to bet on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $558.60;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Should you bet on Angers?

🔴 Angers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Angers

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Angers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Montpellier.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Montpellier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Angers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.