Genoa x Lecce Betting tips for March 14 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 14/3/2025 19:45 |
 Genoa2.00 |
X 3.10 |
Lecce  4.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Genoa x Lecce:
🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $2100.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Genoa x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
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Analysis from Genoa x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 14 of March
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🏟️ Genoa X Lecce – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Genoa x Lecce is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280764 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Lecce
Is it a good idea to bet on Genoa?
🔵 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.
Should you bet on Lecce?
🔴 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $896.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Lecce
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Lecce
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Genoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Genoa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lecce.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Lecce
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
