Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for April 13 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks, Saturday, 13/4/2024

📅 13/4/2024 12:00

Kakamega Homeboyz 2.20

X 2.86

Kariobangi Sharks 3.34

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

Important information for your tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kakamega Homeboyz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. 👉 Kakamega Homeboyz did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kariobangi Sharks scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Kariobangi Sharks, Kakamega Homeboyz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Kakamega Homeboyz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Kariobangi Sharks matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Kariobangi Sharks conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Kakamega Homeboyz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Kariobangi Sharks. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Kariobangi Sharks has not lost any of them. 👉 Kakamega Homeboyz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Kariobangi Sharks playing at home.

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Analysis from Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kakamega Homeboyz and Kariobangi Sharks.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1095332 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

Is betting on Kakamega Homeboyz worth it?

🔵 Kakamega Homeboyz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kariobangi Sharks?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $585.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$165.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.