Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia Betting tips for April 13 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia, Saturday, 13/4/2024

📅 13/4/2024 12:00

Nzoia Sugar 5.39

X 3.50

Gor Mahia 1.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia:

🔮 Gor Mahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gor Mahia, you can win up to $790.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nzoia Sugar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $95.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Gor Mahia, Nzoia Sugar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nzoia Sugar conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Nzoia Sugar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Gor Mahia. 👉 Nzoia Sugar has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Gor Mahia playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia:

Analysis from Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1095332 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia

Should you bet on Nzoia Sugar?

🔵 Nzoia Sugar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $263.40;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$676.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $625.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is betting on Gor Mahia worth it?

🔴 Gor Mahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $400.20
• And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Nzoia Sugar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Nzoia Sugar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Nzoia Sugar.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nzoia Sugar x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.