Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for April 13 in Kenya Premier League
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13/4/2024 12:00 |
 Sofapaka FC2.40 |
X 2.95 |
Ulinzi Stars  2.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $485.0. |
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Analysis from Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 13 of April
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๐๏ธ Sofapaka FC X Ulinzi Stars – Kenya Premier League |
When the best bet on Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1095332 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars
Should you bet on Sofapaka FC?
๐ต Sofapaka FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $434.00
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$256.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $799.50;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$209.50.
Is it worth betting on Ulinzi Stars?
๐ด Ulinzi Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sofapaka FC
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sofapaka FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sofapaka FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sofapaka FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x Ulinzi Stars
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
