AC Milan x Cagliari Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Cagliari, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 19:45

AC Milan 1.35

X 5.00

Cagliari 8.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Milan x Cagliari:

🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for AC Milan x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cagliari, AC Milan scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cagliari matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AC Milan x Cagliari, with AC Milan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cagliari. 👉 AC Milan has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AC Milan x Cagliari?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from AC Milan x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Milan and Cagliari.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Milan x Cagliari

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan?

🔵 AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $311.50;
• And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$201.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it worth betting on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $286.00
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$674.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 AC Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 AC Milan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 AC Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.