Bologna x Roma Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Roma, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 17:00

Bologna 2.70

X 3.22

Roma 2.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Roma:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Bologna x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bologna x Roma, with Bologna as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Roma playing at home.

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Analysis from Bologna x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bologna x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Roma

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $777.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.00.

Should you bet on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Roma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bologna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.