AC Milan x Girona Betting tips for January 22 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 22/1/2025 20:00 |
 AC Milan1.41 |
X 4.60 |
Girona  6.95 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AC Milan x Girona:
🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $705.00!
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The main points for the tip for AC Milan x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-237.0. |
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Analysis from AC Milan x Girona for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of January
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🏟️ AC Milan X Girona – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Milan x Girona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1250019 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Milan x Girona
Is it worth betting on AC Milan?
🔵 AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $307.50
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$57.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.
Should you bet on Girona?
🔴 Girona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$444.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Girona
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Girona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 AC Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 AC Milan.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Girona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Girona
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
