Benfica x Barcelona Betting tips for March 5 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Benfica x Barcelona, Wednesday, 5/3/2025

📅 5/3/2025 20:00

Benfica 3.56

X 4.00

Barcelona 1.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Benfica x Barcelona:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $950.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Benfica x Barcelona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-126.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $119.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barcelona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Barcelona has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Benfica x Barcelona?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Benfica x Barcelona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Benfica x Barcelona for the UEFA Champions League – 5 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benfica and Barcelona.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1275402 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Benfica x Barcelona

Is betting on Benfica worth it?

🔵 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $563.20;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$216.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is betting on Barcelona worth it?

🔴 Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $549.00;
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$159.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Barcelona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Barcelona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Benfica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Benfica.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Barcelona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.