Fiorentina x Sassuolo Betting tips for April 28 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Sassuolo, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 18:45

Fiorentina 1.67

X 3.90

Sassuolo 4.79

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fiorentina x Sassuolo:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $835.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Fiorentina x Sassuolo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-86.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sassuolo, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Fiorentina matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sassuolo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sassuolo. 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fiorentina x Sassuolo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Sassuolo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Sassuolo for the Italy Serie A – 28 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina x Sassuolo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1106965 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Sassuolo

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $495.80
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $435.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on Sassuolo?

🔴 Sassuolo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $416.90;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$473.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Sassuolo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Sassuolo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fiorentina.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Sassuolo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.