Napoli x Roma Betting tips for April 28 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Napoli x Roma, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 16:00

Napoli 1.95

X 3.50

Roma 3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Napoli x Roma:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $975.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Napoli x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $383.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Roma, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Napoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Napoli is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Roma has not lost any of them. 👉 Napoli has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Roma playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Napoli x Roma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Napoli x Roma:

Analysis from Napoli x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 28 of April

When the best bet on Napoli x Roma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1106360 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli x Roma

Is betting on Napoli worth it?

🔵 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $589.00;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔴 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $513.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Roma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Napoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Napoli.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Napoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.